Worst-case for Evan Mobley’s career from here
Realistically, I do think that even in Evan Mobley’s worst-case scenario that he will be a multiple-time member of the All-Defensive team in his career. It’s not like Mobley has shown that he is prone to being injured, as he only missed three regular season games last year, and only 13 the year prior.
In this scenario, however, Mobley’s career would not be as illustrious as it could be. To compare his worst-case scenario to an NBA player, I would have to go with DeAndre Jordan. Jordan was an All-Star one time in his career for the Los Angeles Clippers, and made the All-Defense First Team twice. Jordan has had a solid career, but after he left the Clippers, his career fell off a metaphorical cliff, and has gotten minimum contracts, and is no longer the player he once was.
That could be the same for Mobley’s career, at his worst. Mobley is a very athletic player, and once he gets older and older, that athleticism might decrease, and then we could see a dip in his productivity. He’s still probably going to be a great defender throughout his career, but his offensive game might never be as good as his defensive game.
Maybe his offensive game just never develops, and it could even regress. His 3-point percentage did drop from his rookie to his sophomore season, so what’s to say it won’t ever be league average? If his jump shot never develops, which is an area he’ll have to show real improvement next season, maybe he’ll never become an All-Star, and might plateau when it comes to his talents.
Also, what if Mobley becomes injury-prone? A lot of tall NBA players have been plagued with injuries, and even if Mobley hasn’t been struck with the injury bug very hard, it isn’t certain that he won’t ever become injury-prone. Here’s to hoping he won’t, but in this worst-case scenario, it might happen.