With six wins over their last eight games, the Cavs are surging into tonight’s battle in Brooklyn against the Nets. This is the first time Cleveland has seen the new-look Nets after the organization traded away Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, so the Cavs are expected to improve on a mediocre 16-20 road record here.
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While you can bet on anything in the game to score that bonus, let me explain why I think Cleveland is worth backing in this matchup:
Cavs vs. Nets Prediction and Betting Pick
Brooklyn has three straight losses, failing to cover the spread in each, and I think the Cavs have several key advantages that’ll propel them to victory.
Since the All-Star break, Cleveland is the much better team. The Cavs have the NBA’s fourth-best net rating (6.0) in that stretch while Brooklyn is an abysmal 24th (-4.9). While Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley lead one of the league’s premier defenses, Cleveland’s true edge comes on the offensive end.
It makes sense given the Nets traded away two of the NBA’s best scorers and playmakers, but Brooklyn’s offense is in rough shape. The Nets are 28th in offensive rating (109.0) post All-Star break, while Cleveland is ninth (117.2). Mikal Bridges has looked like a foundational piece for Brooklyn, but the team doesn’t have guards who can consistently create their own shot.
That’s a stark contrast from a Cavs squad that has one of the league’s most dynamic backcourts thanks to Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland. Brooklyn’s offensive troubles leave them particularly vulnerable against Cleveland, given the Cavs have four players in the top 20 in Defensive Win Shares this season.
The Cavs are 13-5 against the spread in their last 18 games as favorites while the Nets failed to cover in each of their last two as underdogs. Expect those trends to continue in a convincing Cleveland win.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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